事故致因理論及其在水上交通安全管理中的應用.pdf

1、武漢理工大學碩士學位論文事故致因理論及其在水上交通安全管理中的應用姓名：郝勇申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：交通信息工程及控制指導教師：李勇2003.6.1苧堡矍三查蘭堡主蘭堡墮蘭一——AbstractInordertoprobetheprocessofwatertrafficaccident，investlgatlonitscausationwhichwillhelpforthesafeguardagainstrisks，andtoimpro

2、vewatertrafficsafetymanagement，thispaperanalysesandcomparesvariesofaccident—causingtheories，thenonthebasisofthem，producedwatertrafficaceident—causingtheory，andgaveaclearexplanatlonofeachofitsfactorsThetheoryiscertifiedby

3、causationanalyzingtotwealaccidentsInthefollowing。thepaperdiscussedtheapplicationofwatertraffic8ccident—causingtheoryinSOLASConventionandinwatertrafficsafetymanagementinourcountryTypicalaccidentcausingtheoriesincludesHein

4、rich’sDomino’stheoryitsdevelopmentbyBird，Adamsandotherpeople，progressofwhichisthatitisdeficienciesofmanagementsystemthataretherootcauseinaccidentcausationsequenceThisisauthor’sidearesourceandmainmethodtoproducethewatertr

5、afficaccident—causingtheoryinadditionuncontrolledtransferringofenergytheory，applieswidelyinsafety伸anagementschemeforwatertraffic：humanerroraccidentmodelcanbeusedtoanalyzecausesofcollisionaccidentandtotakepreventivemeasur

6、es：perturbationtheoryandmultilineareventsequencingmethodisaveryusefulinvestigationmethodtowatertrafficaccidentsAllofthesetheorieshavecontributedtothedevelopmentofwatertrafficaccident—causingtheoryAstoorbitintersectingthe

7、ory，thepaperthinksitextensionofDomino’stheory，althoughitexistsindependently，Amongallaboveaccident—causingtheories，thereisacoffⅡnonpointofview。ieunsafebehaviorofhumanand／orunsafeconditionofobjectisthedirectcsuseofaacciden

8、tThepapercenteredthepointofview，goingforwardtofindoutthemanagementsystemfactor，whilegoingafterwardtoidentifyemergencyactions，soaintegratedwatertrafficaccidentcausingtheorycomesforwardItsaysdeficienciesofmanagementsystem，

9、including(butnot1imited)companymanagementsystemforsafeoperationsandmaritimesafetyadministrationsystemistherootcauseofaccidentcausationItcausescrew’squalitydeficiencies，unfitnessofcargo，anddangerousnavigationcircumstances

10、，whichfurthermoreCauseunsafebehaviorofcrewmembers，unsafeconditionofshipandcargoonboardand／orhighrisksofcircumstances，that1eadtoundesiredevent(s)Thosemayormaynotresultininitialloss，dependingoncircumstancesThefinallossthen

11、depends013theemergencyremedialactionsthataretaken，ornotThewatertrafficaccident—causingtheorycanbeusedtoimproveandperfectmarlneaccidentinvestinationThetheoryhasquiteabetterapplicationinSOLASConventiongraduallYWatertraffic

12、administrationmeasuresinourcountryapplywiththetheoryonthewholeButsomefactor，suchasmarltimeadministrationsystem，fitnessofcargo，maritimesafetyinformationandemergencypreparedness，arecontrolledincompletelyandunconcretelyKeyw