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1、1外文翻譯外文翻譯原文TourismRealEstateDevelopmentsinNtheastBrazilMaterialsource:ADITNEAuth:DiogoCanterasINTRODUCTIONThisarticleisfocusedontheTourismRealEstateinNtheastBrazilamarketthatevolvedswiftlyinthepastfewyearsastheresultofwl
2、dwidecheapcapitalavailabilityimprovedtourismdestinationsperceivedinvestmentpotentialafavableexchangeratelowBrazilianassetprices.Theinfmationanalysesconclusionspresentedhereinaretheresultofanextensiveresearchedcarriedoutb
3、yHVSNewmarkKnightFrankonbehalfofADIT–NE(AssociationftheDevelopmentoftheTourismRealEstateMarketinNtheastBrazil).TheAssociation’sgoalistoproviderelevantinfmationanalysestogovernmentauthitiesinvestsdevelopersindertoassistpl
4、anningdecisionmaking.TheresearchincludedvastsecondarydatacollectionfieldwksallovertheNtheasterncostmethan70interviewswithdevelopersgovernmentauthitiesbrokersconsultantinvests.ItsmainfindingswerepresentedinNderstedtInvest
5、2008(anindustrymeeting).ThecompleteresearchfindingswillbepublishedbyADITNEsoon.Thisarticlehassixsectionsapartfromthisintroduction.Thefirsttwosectionspresentourdefinitionofthetourismrealestatemarketshowscurrentmarketdatap
6、rojectionsofsupplydemfresidentialunitsintourismrealestatedevelopments.Thethirdfourthsectionspresenttherestmarket’sperfmanceaswellasprojectsupplydemfrestdriversaffectingthetourismrealestatemarketinBrazildrawsomeconclusion
7、provideRecommenddictionsfindustrystakeholders.THETOURISMREALESTATEMARKETTourismrealestatepropertiesarethoselocatedatdesiredtouristdestinationscomposedbysecondhomeunitslargetourismleisurefacilitiessuchashotelsparksmarinas
8、golfcoursesetc.Thesefacilitiesenhancetouristexperienceinducetouristflowsprovideservicestoguestsowners.Therefethey3Speedinthepastyearswassomewhatlimited(asstatedpreviously)evenwithVeryfavablemarketconditions.2.Althoughthe
9、rehasbeenanincreaseinfeigndemithasbeensignificantlyLowerthanmostexpectationseveninafavableenvironment.Intheshttermtherearefacts(suchastheinternationalfinancialcrisis)thatwillhinderfeigndem.Inthetermfeigndemshouldincrease
10、againbuttherearenosignsthatsuchdemwillbemuchhigherthanthepreviouslyobservedhighenoughtoabsbtheannouncedsupplyofresidentialunits.3.Traditionallylargedevelopmentstakeseveralyearstobuildsellallresidentialunitsastheyareusual
11、lydevelopedinsmallphases.Ifanyphaseunderperfms(sellsslowlyatlowprices)subsequentphasesaresuspendeduntilmarketconditionsimprove.Thusthemarketmechanismspreventsupplygrowingfasterthandeminnmaltimes.4.Basedonthisinfmationont
12、heindividualanalysisofallexistingprojectswedevelopedafecastofsupplydemfasevenyearperiod.Thistimespanreflectsourestimationoftheperiodrequiredfprojectsunderdevelopmenttofinishatleasttheirfirstcurrentphase.Giventhecloserela
13、tionshipbetweensupplydemweexpectfuturedemftourismrealestateresidentialunitsinNtheasternBrazilwillbesufficienttoabsbtheprojectedsupply.Thisexpectation(basescenario)isrepresentedbythebluelineinPicture5.ThisPicturealsoprese
14、ntsdemfecastsftwoextremealternativescenarios.Theoccurrenceofthesescenariosissubjecttothebehaviofthefollowingvariables:exchangeratesairtravelaccessibilityfinancingavailabilitytheinternationalpromotionofBrazil’stourismindu
15、stry.TheoptimisticscenarioassumestheexchangeratewillrisestayatrelativelyhighlevelsmakingtheBrazilianproductcheaperfinternationalbuyers.Thisincreasedcompetitivenessalongwithinvestmentininfrastructuremarketingwillincreasea
16、ttractivenessairtravelaccessibility.Simultaneouslytheendoftheinternationalfinancialcrisisresumptionofinternationalgrowthwillfostertheavailabilityoffinance.Thepessimisticscenarioassumestheovervaluedlocalcurrencythelackove
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