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1、0外文翻譯原文Title:TheRisingChineseCarMarketSource:springer.lib.tsinghua.Auther:ARothacher1.0IntroductionAskedwhichautomakerwillwinChinamethanoneanalystaccountantsayssimply“Chinawillwin.“Yesthewldsfastestgrowingautomarkettanta
2、lizesautomakerswithitspotentialfgrowthprofits.AmericanautomakersseeChinaasagrowthmarketthatcouldhelpmakeupffallingprofitsathome.Theyarentalone.JapaneseEuropeancarmakersalsohavehighhopesfChina.Volkswagen(otc:VLKAYnewspeop
3、le)EuropeslargestcarcompanynowsellsmecarsinChinathanitdoesinitshomemarketofGermany.ButtherealbeneficiaryoftheautomotiveinvestmentwillbeChinaitselfwhichisbuildingitsowncarbusinesswiththehelpoffeigninvestswhoaccdingtoalaws
4、tipulatingthatanindividualfeigninvestmaynotownmethan50%ofaChinesemanufacturermustpartnerwithChinesecompaniestoenterthemarket.ThankstoadvantageouslawslikethisonethefinancialregulatybackingofthegovernmentaswellasChinasgrow
5、ingeconomylowlabcostsenmouspopulationtheChineseautomotivelscapecouldultimatelyresemblethatofJapanSouthKea:developedwiththehelpoftheWestwithWesterninvestsgraduallyreducedtominplayers.Todaytherearemethanadozenstaterunautom
6、akersinChina.StilleveniftheyhavenotbeenabletosetupstaloneshopstherefeignautomakerssalivateoverthepotentialinChinaeveniftheChineseeconomyisstillinmanywaysunderdeveloped.GeneralMots(nyse:GMnewspeople)estimatesthat74million
7、Chinesefamilies(about20%ofthepopulation)canaffdtobuycarsevenifpercapitaannualincomeinChinaisonly$930inthecities$299inthecountry.This20%ofthepopulationthatcanbuycarsholdsabout80%ofthesavingsdepositsinChina.Carsarenotmeaff
8、dableinChinabutthe2feignautomakerinChinarightnow.Itssalesincreasedbyabout38%inthefirstninemonthsof2003owinglargelytoastrategythatcallsfintroducingnewproductsinChinathenrevisingthemquickly.FdMot(nyse:Fnewspeople)hasbeenla
9、teinenteringChinaisstrugglingtogetoffthegroundthere.ToyotaissellingcarsalthoughitisnotnearlyaswellentrenchedinChinaasHonda(nyse:HMCnewspeople).Nissan(nasdaq:NSANYnewspeople)ismakingnewinvestmentsofabout$2billioninitsChin
10、eseenterprisesHyundaiisinvestingabout$1billion.CompanieslikeVolkswagenGMHonda(arguablythethreewiththemostmomentuminChina)arefindingthattheircapacitycannotkeepupwithdeminthecountry.Hondasvehiclestakefromaweektoamonthfdeli
11、verythere(ChinadoesnothaveanestablisheddeliveryinfrastructurethehdesofdeliverytrucksavailableinAmerica).TohelpeasethebacklogthebigthreeAmericanautomakersareplanningtofeedthemarketwiththoussofimptedcarsbuiltinAmericabefe2
12、006.ThesewillcomplementtheextensiveefftstheyarealreadymakingtobuildcarsonChinesesoilwithChinesepartners.RightnowsuccessinChinacanbeconsideredmeamatterofmarketsharethanprofitabilityaccdingtoanAsiabasedautomotiveindustryan
13、alystwhoinsistedonspeakinganonymously.TheanalystsaysthatthisstrategyoccupyapositionweardownyouropponentstemsfromSunTzusTheArtofWarthattheAsianautomakerstendtohavemepatiencefthisstofthingthatWesternautomakerswhoareunderpr
14、essuretoreptquarterlyprofitsmayhaveahardtimeturningthefocustomarketshare.ButsomehavespeculatedthattherapidgrowthofChinasautobusinessisabubblethatwilleventuallyburstfloodingtheChinesemarketwithcarscouldbemeproblematicthan
15、automakersexpect.“Thereisnttoomuchcapacityrightnow“saysLund“buttheannouncedincreasesinthenextthreetofiveyearsaregoingtooutpacedem.Thatsthebigconcern.“SpecificallytheconcerninvolvesthepotentialfcheapChinesecarstobeexptedo
16、verseasthepossibilitythattherewontbeenoughpeopleabletoaffdthecarstosustainproductionlevelsinfiveyears.Onegoaloftheplannedincreasesincapacityistogiveautomakersachancetoroundouttheirlineupstosellmemodernproducts.Chinasentr
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