版權(quán)說明:本文檔由用戶提供并上傳,收益歸屬內(nèi)容提供方,若內(nèi)容存在侵權(quán),請進(jìn)行舉報(bào)或認(rèn)領(lǐng)
文檔簡介
1、NthAmericaEquityResearch17June2019EquityRatingsPriceTargetsMktCapPriceRatingPriceTargetCompanyTicker($mn)CCYPriceCurPrevCurEndDatePrevEndDateCheniereEnergyInc.LNGUS16790.20USD65.23OWnc86.00Dec19ncncCheniereEnergyPartners
2、L.P.CQPUS20386.08USD42.12Nnc46.00Dec19ncncKinderMganInc.KMIUS46442.26USD20.53Nnc23.00Dec1922.00ncMacquarieInfrastructureCpationMICUS3486.58USD40.55Nnc44.00Dec1943.00ncONEOKInc.OKEUS26606.04USD64.46OWnc78.00Dec1979.00ncPl
3、ainsGPHoldingsL.P.PAGPUS6760.13USD24.23OWnc32.00Dec19ncncPlainsAllAmericanPipelineL.P.PAAUS17522.81USD24.11OWnc32.00Dec19ncncTargaResourcesCp.TRGPUS8506.26USD36.59OWnc48.00Dec1952.00ncTheWilliamsCompaniesInc.WMBUS32698.0
4、9USD26.99OWnc34.00Dec19ncncEnbridgeIncENBCN69936.19CAD46.35Nnc53.00Dec1955.00ncGibsonEnergyInc.GEICN2479.91CAD22.90OWN27.00Dec1926.00ncInterPipelineLtd.IPLCN6079.97CAD19.85Nnc23.00Dec1925.00ncPembinaPipelineCpPPLCN18498.
5、84CAD48.34OWnc58.00Dec19ncncTCEnergyCpTRPCN45144.60CAD65.68OWnc75.00Dec1973.00ncIEnovaIENOVAMM6587.82MXN82.44OWnc98.00Dec1995.00ncSource:CompanydataBloombergJ.P.Mganestimates.nc=nochange.Allpricesasof14Jun19.NthAmericanE
6、nergyInfrastructureCCpsPMHbook:ResilientResultsFavPPLWMBPAGPEnergyMLPsJeremyToCFAAC(1212)6224915jeremy.b.to@BloombergJPMATOJ.P.MganSecuritiesLLClieWBarber(1212)6223301lie.w.barber@J.P.MganSecuritiesLLCJosephRMartoglio(12
7、12)6221741joseph.r.martoglio@J.P.MganSecuritiesLLCRahulKrotthapalli(1212)6222408rahul.krotthapalli@J.P.MganSecuritiesLLCVinayChitteti(9122)61573462vinay.chitteti@J.P.MganIndiaPrivateLimitedSeepage97fanalystcertificationi
8、mptantdisclosuresincludingnonUSanalystdisclosures.J.P.Mgandoesseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchrepts.Asaresultinvestsshouldbeawarethatthefirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthisr
9、ept.Investsshouldconsiderthisreptasonlyasinglefactinmakingtheirinvestmentdecision.DespiteinvesttrepidationoncapexcreepotherfearsCCpearningsprovedresilientwith54%beating30%meetingStreetestimatesmatchingthestrongshowingbyM
10、LPs.AssuchbetterthanexpectedresultscombinedwithgrowinghydrocarbonvolumesrenewedgeneralistinterestinC–Cppipelineslowerinterestrateshavemethanoffsetcommoditypriceswoespropellinga21%totalreturnftheAMNA(CCpMLPenergyinfrastru
11、ctureindex)4%versustheS(2)franchisepositionsattractingnewbusiness(3)footprintsleveredtoadvantagedbasins(4)financialflexibilitywhichprovidethestructuraladvantagestomaximizeleverageadjustedfreecashflowperunitvaluecreation.
12、Ffavitenameswehighlight4FfavitePembina(especiallyfinancialflexibilty)aswellascapitalefficientWMBPAA.FinallyalthoughspotLNGweaknesscontinuestoweighonChenieresentimentwebelievethedeleveragingstrategyupcomingcatalysts(CCL2e
13、arlyCCLStage3)willdriveupsideovertime.?CCpsoutperfmingMLPsin2019indexinclusionaclearadvantage.Aswenotedinour1Q19MLPHbookCCpscontinuetotopMLPsYTD(AMNA5%vstheAMZ).Mespecificallyaspreviouslynotedgeneralistinvestinterestcont
14、inuestoclearlyfavCCpsenergyinfrastructureoverMLPsespeciallythoseinlargeindiceswiththethreeSJPMcoverage3NthAmericaEquityResearch17June2019JeremyToCFA(1212)6224915jeremy.b.to@providingaheadersystemacrosstheTXcoast.Meoverth
15、epipelinereducesvolumetricriskontheBasinpipelineakeyconsiderationgiventheupcomingpipelinecompetition.AdditionallyPAAnotedpullthroughbenefitsonupstreampipelinesthatcoulddrivereturnsabovePAAsreturntargetsmakingthisanattrac
16、tiveprojectthatnotablyleveragesPAGP’sdominantPermianfranchiseinahighlycapitalefficientmanner.WhileRedOakstoodoutasthehighlightofthePAGPInvestDaywedidalsoleaveincrementallypositivethatlessonslearnedinthe201415downturnbett
17、erpositionPlainstohleasimilarpipelineoversupplysituationthatlikelymaterializestowardstheendof2019into2020.MeoverPAAhighlightedtheiradvantagedabilitytoprovideunmatchedintegratedsolutionswithlargescaleaggregationqualityseg
18、regationleadingflowassuranceendmarketsoptionality.FinallyPlainsreaffirmeditsfinancialguardrailsprovidedinAprilalthoughwebelievecodifyingalevelofbuybackstiedtoS&LearningspostregainingfullIGwouldbewelcomedbymostinvestsasas
19、trongcommitmenttocapitaldiscipline.?LNG:capitalallocationstrategymaximizesflexibilityreducingleveragereturningcapital.AttheirinvestdayCheniererecentlyoutlinedtheirnewcapitalallocationframewk.Withanexpectationtosource$9bn
20、ofavailablecashbetween20182024thecapitaldeploymenthierarchystartswithgrowth(SPL6CCLStage3)thenBSimprovements(IGtargetwithtohigh4xDEBITDA)thencapitalreturns($1bnbuyback).Basedonourconversationswebelievedthatinvestspreferr
21、edabuybackfocusoverdividendsduetoenhancedflexibilitythemarketreactionappearedtosubstantiatethatview.FurthermeChenierenowanticipates9TrainrunrateEBITDAof$5.2$5.6bnversusanimplied$5.0$5.5bnpreviouslyduetofurthertraincapaci
22、tyoptimization(now4.75.0mtpavs4.44.9mtpa).AdditionallyCEIannouncedaninnovative‘integratedproductionmanagement’contractstructurewherebythenatgassupplierApacheinthiscontractreceivesapricebasedoninternationalLNGindicesofliq
23、uefactionotherfeesasopposedtoHH.WebelievethenewIPMstructurecouldpavethewayffuturecommitmentsaidcommercialunderpinningsffuturetrains.?TRP:assetssalesadvancefundingefftsleveragesteadilydecliningtosub5.0x.TheC$1.15bnNtherCo
24、urierpartialdivesturerepresentsanothernoncesaleatattractiveeconomicsmuchbetterthanexpectedatalmost14x.Inlinewithourexpectationsthe~C$1.75bnof2019salesprovidesfundingfthegrowthbacklogwhilemaintainingceassetsprovidingaline
25、ofsightto5.0xleverage.DespitesignificantoutperfmanceYTDTRPpossessesthedeepestbacklog(exKXL)instreamcontinuestoexecuteonrelativelylowerriskattractiveprojectsonexistingsystems(NGTL).Furthermewithseveralcatalystsonthehizoni
溫馨提示
- 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明,都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
- 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等,如果需要附件,請聯(lián)系上傳者。文件的所有權(quán)益歸上傳用戶所有。
- 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙,網(wǎng)頁內(nèi)容里面會有圖紙預(yù)覽,若沒有圖紙預(yù)覽就沒有圖紙。
- 4. 未經(jīng)權(quán)益所有人同意不得將文件中的內(nèi)容挪作商業(yè)或盈利用途。
- 5. 眾賞文庫僅提供信息存儲空間,僅對用戶上傳內(nèi)容的表現(xiàn)方式做保護(hù)處理,對用戶上傳分享的文檔內(nèi)容本身不做任何修改或編輯,并不能對任何下載內(nèi)容負(fù)責(zé)。
- 6. 下載文件中如有侵權(quán)或不適當(dāng)內(nèi)容,請與我們聯(lián)系,我們立即糾正。
- 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準(zhǔn)確性、安全性和完整性, 同時(shí)也不承擔(dān)用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。
最新文檔
- j.p. 摩根-美股-石油服務(wù)與設(shè)備行業(yè)-摩根大通能源會議的思想要點(diǎn)-2019.6.21-45頁
- j.p.摩根-美股-房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)-摩根大通私人cmbs手冊2019版-2019.4.4-54頁
- j.p. 摩根-美股-農(nóng)業(yè)行業(yè)-2019年q2摩根大通農(nóng)業(yè)市場展望-2019.6.18-68頁
- j.p. 摩根-亞太地區(qū)-股票策略-泰國消費(fèi)者夏季貿(mào)易的結(jié)束-2019.6.17-30頁
- j.p.摩根-美股-保險(xiǎn)行業(yè)-美國壽險(xiǎn)行業(yè)2019年q1展望:基本面喜憂參半,但業(yè)績有所改善-2019.4.1-111頁
- j.p. 摩根-美股-宏觀策略-利率衍生品不讓人滿意的夏天-2019.6.21-21頁
- j.p.摩根-美股-石油服務(wù)與設(shè)備-2017q4財(cái)報(bào):思考與觀察-2018.2.21-48頁
- j.p. 摩根-全球-宏觀策略-全球數(shù)據(jù)觀察-2018.5.18-88頁
- 能源行業(yè)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)
- j.p. 摩根-全球-宏觀策略-全球宏觀數(shù)據(jù)觀察-2019.6.7-96頁
- j.p. 摩根-亞太地區(qū)-房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)-新加坡房地產(chǎn)市場研究-2019.6.18-33頁
- 能源行業(yè)競爭情報(bào)及分析
- 中國新能源行業(yè)調(diào)研報(bào)告
- 巴黎銀行-全球-能源行業(yè)-布倫特石油策略-20180320-9頁
- 俄羅斯能源行業(yè)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)研究
- 能源行業(yè)監(jiān)測統(tǒng)計(jì)調(diào)查制度
- 新能源行業(yè)戰(zhàn)略合作協(xié)議
- 瑞銀-美股-公用事業(yè)行業(yè)-北美可替代能源專家會議:分布式風(fēng)力發(fā)電要點(diǎn)-2019.4.1-43頁
- j.p. 摩根-亞太地區(qū)-宏觀策略-泰國與印尼消費(fèi)后大選消費(fèi)-2019.6.21-27頁
- 新能源行業(yè)精益研發(fā)與創(chuàng)新
評論
0/150
提交評論