科技進步與交通運輸業(yè)發(fā)展-理論、方法與測評.pdf

1、北方交通大學(xué)博士學(xué)位論文科技進步與交通運輸業(yè)發(fā)展：理論、方法與測評姓名：權(quán)忠光申請學(xué)位級別：博士專業(yè)：運輸經(jīng)濟指導(dǎo)教師：許慶斌1998.9.1●ABSTRACTInthisthesis。theauthorstudiedtheproblemofcalculating8nde忸luatingthe8dvanceofscienceandtechnology(AST)intrBIlsportsectorTakingtheChinarailway

2、sector8s8nex鯽ple，the8uthordidan8ctualcalculating8ndevaluatingFirstofa11，the‘‘pushandpulleffect”broughtonthedeVelopmentofco呻unications鯽dtransportationbytheAST們san81yzedinthethesis，also。the‘‘push8ndpulleffect”0nthedevelopm

3、entofn8tionaleconomybytheASTofc伽哪nications帥dn‘a(chǎn)nsportationind、lstrywasanalyzedthenThecurrentsitu酞ionofASTofcommunicationsandtransDortationindustry，especiallytherail張ytransportindustry訛sdescribedTheauthor8nalyzedthedevelo

4、pmentrOutesandtendenciesof^STofc咖unications8ndtransportationindustryin帕ostofthedevelopedcountries，thenpointedouttheinspirationsgainedfromforeignexperience，andgavethestr8tegictargetsofASTofcoI姍unicationsandtransport8tioni

5、nChinaIncontrastiththeformerstudies，thisthesisopenedtheintentionof^STbypayingmuch皿ore8ttentiontothedeepinfluenceonthedevelopmentofco舳unic8tions鋤dtr8nspor乞ationindustrybroughtby$aftscience，the8utharpon噸edoutthatthetargeto

6、fASTofco刪nicationsandtransportationindustryinChinashouldincludenotonlythemodernizationofthetechn0109icalbaseOfco哪unicationsandtransportation。butalsothemanBgementmodernizationofco叫unicationsandtransportation明dhighgradeoft

7、r曲sportserviceOnthebasisoftheconcretesituationofco刪unicBtiOns8ndtransportationindustryinChina。theauthordevelopedBneandsi皿plermethodtodecidedthevaluesof伍andpFirst，seVeralfactorsrhichere皿ostrel8tivetotheoutputoftransportin

8、dustryerescreenedbymeansofthemultivari8telinearregressiontheoryandmethods，thenthelevelofinterDretingthetr弧sportoutput，iedecisioncoefficient，byeachselectedfactor忱scalculatedrespectively，8t1ast。thevaluesofaand8weredeter啊in

9、edonthebasisofdecisioncoefficientsUsingthest8tisticsofchinarail訛yindustryfro帕1980to1996，the8uthorgotsuchresultforrail髓yindustry：d：O38，p=O62Acordingtothisresult，theeffectofASTforthe訕olerailayindustryandfiVeRailMyAdministr