拉美-投資策略-imf貸款，對硬通貨工具有利，不太可能避免進一步的ars下跌_第1頁
已閱讀1頁，還剩7頁未讀， 繼續(xù)免費閱讀

下載本文檔

版權(quán)說明：本文檔由用戶提供并上傳，收益歸屬內(nèi)容提供方，若內(nèi)容存在侵權(quán)，請進行舉報或認(rèn)領(lǐng)

文檔簡介

1、PleaserefertoimptantinfmationpositivefhardcurrencyinstrumentsunlikelytoavertafurtherARS:gosht?WiththeIMF’sUSD50bnloanfinanciallyArgentinaisnowarmouredhasgainedadegreeoffreedomfromdependenceonfinancialmarketstohonitspubli

2、cdebtinthecomingquarters.?Neverthelesstheconditionswillnotbeeasytocomplywith.ThemaincommitmentArgentinahasmadeistotightenthepaceoffiscalconsolidationinayearofdeceleratinggrowthaheadofthe2019presidentialelection.?Offthein

3、vests’radarmerelytwomonthsagoelectalriskisnowalsoafacttobetakenintoconsideration.?FromamacrodomesticdynamicsviewpointweseeaweakerpesoasoneofthenecessaryelementstoleveloutArgentina’slingeringmacroinbalances(currentaccount

4、tradedeficitsslowinggrowthsubsequentneedtoreflatetaxrevenue).?IfanythingthepositiveimpactfromtheIMFshouldbemeexplicitonhardcurrencyinstrumentsastheimplieddefaultriskofUSDdenominateddebtshoulddiminishinthecomingquarters.?

5、Asstressedinourearlierpublicationsweneedtoseeachangeintrendintheincreasingcapitalflightfromlocals.ThemarketmultilateralganisationshavesofargivenArgentinamesupptthanexpected:thedynamicsoflocalswillbekeyfanysuccessfulprogr

6、ammefromnowon.?WhyshttheARSnowTherearetwocatalyststorecommendthisstrategy:(a)therecentfalloftheBRLafacttowhichArgentinaisnotinmune(b)theintheFXdailymarketinterventionfrombothpublicbankstheBCRA:Weexpectinterventiontobeonl

7、yspadicfromnowon.?Strategy:golongUSDARSvia1mNDFat25.95(12July)allocation:USD5mninitialtarget:27.50.edpublicationsonArgentina1.Argentina:Thedevilinthedetails2.Argentina:Capitalflightshowsnosignofdeceleration3.Argentina:It

8、isnotwkingtimeisrunningout4.Argentina:sharpdepreciationisamatterofwhennotifLATINAMERICASTRATEGYPleaserefertoimptantinfmationattheendofthereptThisdocumenthasbeenproducedby:BancoBNPParibasBrasilS.A.GabrielGerszteinHeadofGM

9、LatinAmericaStrategyanyofthefegoingmayfromtimetotimeactasmanagercomanagerunderwriterofapublicofferingotherwiseinthecapacityofprincipalagentdealinholdactasmarketmakersadvissbrokerscommercialinvestmentbankersinrelationtoth

10、esecuritiesrelatedderivativesthatarediscussedherein.BNPPitsaffiliatesmay(mayinthefuture)holdapositionactasamarketmakerinthefinancialinstrumentsdiscussedactasanadvismanagerunderwriterlendertosuchissuer.Innocircumstancessh

11、allBNPPitsaffiliatesbeobligedtodiscloseanyinfmationthatithasreceivedonaconfidentialbasistodisclosetheexistencethereof.TheinfmationpresentedhereindoesnotcompriseaprospectusofsecuritiesfthepurposesofEUDirective200371EC(asa

12、mendedfromtimetotime).ThisdocumentwasproducedbyaBNPPgroupcompany.Thisdocumentisftheuseofintendedrecipientsmaynotbereproduced(inwholeinpart)deliveredtransmittedtoanyotherpersonwithoutthepriwrittenconsentofBNPP.Byaccepting

13、thisdocumentyouagreetothis.UnitedStatesDisclosures:ImptantOptionDisclosures:Optionsarecomplexinstrumentsthatarenotsuitablefeveryinvestmayinvolveahighdegreeofriskmaybeappropriateinvestmentsonlyfsophisticatedinvestswhoarec

14、apableofunderstingassumingtherisksinvolved.Supptingdocumentationfanyclaimscomparisonsrecommendationsstatisticsothertechnicaldatawillbesupplieduponrequest.Anytradeinfmationispreliminarynotintendedasanofficialtransactionco

15、nfirmation.Iftheinfmationcontainedhereinregardsoptionsrelatedcontentsuchinfmationisavailableonlytopersonswhohavereceivedtheproperoptionriskdisclosuredocuments.FacopyoftheOptionClearingCpationsacteristicsRisksofStardizedO

16、ptionspleasecontactyourBNPPsalesrepresentativevisittheOCCswebsiteataboutpublicationsacterrisks.jspImptantETFDisclosures:FanyETFsdiscussedinthisdocumentyoushouldconsidertheinvestmentobjectivesrisksgesexpensesoftheinvestme

17、ntcompanycarefullybefeinvesting.TheprospectusifavailablethesummaryprospectuscontainsthisotherimptantinfmationabouttheETF.Youmayobtainaprospectusifavailableasummaryprospectusbycalling12128413099.Theprospectusifavailablesu

18、mmaryprospectusshouldbereadcarefullybefeinvesting.AswithanyinvestmentETFshaverisks.Theseincludethegeneralrisksassociatedwithinvestingintheunderlyingassetspotentialtrackingerrthepossibilitythatparticularindicesmaylagother

19、marketsegmentsactivemanagers.InadditionETFsinvestingininternationalmarketsmayincludecurrencygeopoliticalriskswhilefixedincomeETFrisksalsoincludecreditinterestraterisk.BNPPitsaffiliatesmayholdapositionactasamarketmakerint

20、hefinancialinstrumentsdiscussedactasanadvismanagerunderwriterlendertosuchissuer.AsaresultBNPPmayhavepotentialconflictsofinterestrelatingtotheETFsthatarediscussedinthismaterial.InparticularBNPPmayactasanAuthizedParticipan

21、tinthepurchasesaleofsharesfromanETFparticipateinthecreationredemptionofthesecuritiescoveredinthismaterial.InconnectionwiththeseactivitiesBNPPmayreceiveafeemaybedeemedtobeanunderwriteroftheETFsharesmayreceiveinfmationabou

22、tpendingcreationsredemptionsoflargeblocksofETFshares.UndernocircumstancesshallBNPPitsaffiliatesbeobligedtodiscloseanyinfmationthatithasreceivedonaconfidentialbasistodisclosetheexistenceofsuchinfmation.BNPPalsomayactasama

溫馨提示

  • 1. 本站所有資源如無特殊說明，都需要本地電腦安裝OFFICE2007和PDF閱讀器。圖紙軟件為CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.壓縮文件請下載最新的WinRAR軟件解壓。
  • 2. 本站的文檔不包含任何第三方提供的附件圖紙等，如果需要附件，請聯(lián)系上傳者。文件的所有權(quán)益歸上傳用戶所有。
  • 3. 本站RAR壓縮包中若帶圖紙，網(wǎng)頁內(nèi)容里面會有圖紙預(yù)覽，若沒有圖紙預(yù)覽就沒有圖紙。
  • 4. 未經(jīng)權(quán)益所有人同意不得將文件中的內(nèi)容挪作商業(yè)或盈利用途。
  • 5. 眾賞文庫僅提供信息存儲空間，僅對用戶上傳內(nèi)容的表現(xiàn)方式做保護處理，對用戶上傳分享的文檔內(nèi)容本身不做任何修改或編輯，并不能對任何下載內(nèi)容負(fù)責(zé)。
  • 6. 下載文件中如有侵權(quán)或不適當(dāng)內(nèi)容，請與我們聯(lián)系，我們立即糾正。
  • 7. 本站不保證下載資源的準(zhǔn)確性、安全性和完整性, 同時也不承擔(dān)用戶因使用這些下載資源對自己和他人造成任何形式的傷害或損失。

評論

0/150

提交評論