2008年實(shí)現(xiàn)我國“119工程”田徑項(xiàng)目戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)的預(yù)測與分析.pdf

1、、、j二O五、￡譬裔2一。學(xué)校編號：：：!壘圣絲一學(xué)號：盟壘i型2i、離書分類號：‘密、級：福建師、、、范大學(xué)、_、高等學(xué)校教師在職攻讀碩士學(xué)位論文2008年實(shí)現(xiàn)我國“119工程，，田徑項(xiàng)目戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)的預(yù)測與分析TheForecastandAnalysisAboutHowtoAchievetheStrategicGoaloftheNational“119Project’TrackandFieldEventsin2008黃文敏學(xué)科專業(yè)：研究

2、“方l向t一指導(dǎo)教、師：：論文評鬩人，卜，_：論文答辯日期。窒嗵生簋答辯委是會主席：學(xué)位授～予單位：學(xué)位授予日期‘：一、一AbstractByusingdatagrayforecasting，mathematicalstatistics，comparativeanalysisandlogicaldeductionmethodtheauthorsummarizesthemainfeaturesofthenationaltrackandfi

3、eldshowninthepastworldtrackandfieldgamesandthenationalgames；analysesthecurrentstatusofthenationaltrackandfield；forecaststheinternationalandnationaltop3ineachindividualevent這the2008Olympics；andstatesthedevelopmentofthe“11

4、9Project’trackandfieldeventsTheresearchresultsshowthat(1)Inthe2008Olympics，theoverallstandardofthenationaltrackandfieldwillberaisedtoagreatextent；(2)However，thedevelopmentofmosteventsaimingatgoldmedalsorwimgreatadvantage

5、，isunsteadyandoutofexpectAccordingtotheforecastandanalysisresults，inthe2008Olympics，toachievethe‘‘l19Project’trackandfieldgoalsastargeting23goldmedals，35medalsand57athletesrankingwithinthetop8Theauthordeemsthat：O)Thegold

6、medalbreakthrougheventsareasbelowsuccessively：men’sI10metrehurdlerace，women’s20kilometrewalkingrace，men’s50kilometrewalkingraceandwomen’smarathon；(2)Thebeloweventsundertaketaskstogetmedals：men’s50kilometrewalkingrace，wom

7、en’s10000一metrerace，men’s110‘metrehurdleraceandmen’s20一kilometrewalkingrace(3)Thebeloweventsarecapabletobetop8ineachindividual：women’s5000metrerace，women’sshotandmen’slongjumpTherefore，theauthorbringsforwardthemainpropos