后配額時代中國紡織品服裝出口增加實(shí)證研究.pdf

1、北方工業(yè)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文后配額時代中國紡織品服裝出口增加實(shí)證研究姓名：辛海申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)教師：高洪深姜延書20060420北方丁業(yè)大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文AbstractOnJanuary1st，2005，accordingtotheUruguayRoundtextileandtheclothingagreement(AgreementonTextilesandClothing，iscalledATC)，thegloba

2、ltextilequotasystemcomprehensivecancellation，liberalizationoftradethetextileandtheclothingwillcometrue，whichmeansthetextileindustrywillfacethePost—quotaErain2005ThearticleissetinthePost—quotaErawhichisfacedbyChinesetexti

3、leandclothingexportResearchmeaning，theactualresearchstateofhomeandabmad，theresearchbackground，researchmeaningsandframeofthearticleareincludedintheintroduction；Inthesystematicanalysisoftradequota，thedefinitionsofquotaandp

4、ostquota，thecircusofquotaimplement，theformofimportquotaandquotaprovisionaregiven，andtheinfluenceofimportquotaisanalyzed，alltheselayatheoryfoundationthatChinesetextileandclothingexportwillnotinceasegreatlyfromtheabrodaspe

5、ctanalysis；IntheexportcircumstanceofChinesetextileandclothingandthecauseofthis，qualitativeanalysisofChineseTextileandClothingExportisdonefromtheaspectofhomeandabroadandthemaincompetitorthegametheoryisappliedinthetradebet

6、weenChinaandAmerican，andthesametoEurope，whichvalidatethetheinevitabilityoftheexportagreementssubscribedbetweenChinaandAmerican，Eruope，alltheselayatheoryfoundationfortheconclusion；throughthecomparisonbetweenChinaandIndiaw

7、hichisthemainChinesecompetitoroftextileandclothingexport，theexperienceislearned，thereplymeasuresofOurtextileindustryareanalyzed；ThenintheforecastofChinesetextilemadclothingexportinthepost—quotaera，quantitativeanalysisisd

8、oneforthetextileandclothingexport，byusingautoregressiveintegratedmovingaveragemodelandonthebasisofChinesetextileandclothingexpogdatafromJanuaryof2000toDecemberof2004，thispapercarriesoutforecastanalysisfortheChinesetextil

9、eclothingexporttendencyof2005and2006，fromthequantitativeaspecttheconclusionthatChinesetextileandclothingexportwillnotinceasegreatlyisdrawn；Inthelastofconlusionandsuggestion，fromtheaspectofqualitativeandquantitativeanalys

10、isalldonebefore，prospectandsuggestionoftradebetweenChinaandAmericanandEuroparegivenseparatelyandreplymeasuresaregivenfortheoutof_orderofChinesetextileindustrysuggestionsandreplymeasuresgivenforChinesetextileandclothingex