“一帶一路”倡議和印尼經濟發(fā)展在未來基礎設施建設方面經濟聯(lián)系的政策建議研究.pdf

1、Indonesia is forecasted to be the fifth biggest economy in 2050 and has a long way to go to achieve that target.The challenge is to attain economic growth by at least6％annually to avoid middle-income trap(Suryabrata,2017

2、).Therefore,there are several obstacles which hinder Indonesia to be able to realize these ambitions such as infrastructure deficit and the development gap between Java and non-Java Islands.In Addition,to suffice the inf

3、rastructure needs,depending solely on the state budget will not be sufficient.Hence,multiple financing sources from SOE and private sector including foreign investors are crucial.In this regard,the Belt and Road Initiati

4、ve(BRI)is seen as the suitable regional integration initiative to fulfill the infrastructure needs in Indonesia.
　　This paper aims to explore the possibility of economic linkages in public infrastructure between the B

5、RI and Indonesian economic development.For the first research question,it figures out the most challenging problems of the BRI in Indonesia through Indonesian government perspective.The second research question about the

6、 motivation of opposition towards the BRI in Indonesia,it used three hypotheses to test whether it will become the factor of motivation to oppose the BRI in Indonesia.Those hypotheses are Antiglobalization,Collective mem

7、ory and Realism in International relation.This paper also utilized Jakarta-Bandung HSR as the case study for this paper.Therefore,from the answers of the first and second question and also from the case study,it will hel

8、p to address the third research question of this paper regarding policy suggestion.Furthermore,this paper used three research methodologies.First,document analysis collected from government data and regulation,media,book

9、 and academic journals,second is the case study,and the third method is the qualitative interview.
　　This research has produced several significant findings.The findings of the first research question have revealed th

10、at the most challenging problems are project preparation problem(pre-feasibility study formulation),the concerns about unskilled Chinese workers inflow,the negative stigma about China's investment by some Indonesian bure

11、aucrats,and the mismatch between the BRI plan and Indonesian development planning.For the second research question,it showed that the opposition towards the BRI in Indonesia is confirmed to be motivated by all three hypo

12、theses mentioned above and the collective memory hypothesis is the strongest one.The oppositions oppose the BRI because of the communist ideology which they think as anti-religious ideology.The oppositions also believed

13、that communist ideology is the current and one of the most dangerous ideologies for Indonesia.
　　All in all,there is a possibility to link the BRI with Indonesia's development planning on public infrastructure project

14、s especially if the policy suggestion presented in this paper are implemented.Those policy suggestions are focused on project preparation topic,the visa and working policy for foreign workers and to promote more understa