我國區(qū)域農(nóng)村能源需求預(yù)測理論及實證研究—－以重慶農(nóng)村能源需求預(yù)測為例.pdf

1、重慶大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文我國區(qū)域農(nóng)村能源需求預(yù)測理論及實證研究—－以重慶農(nóng)村能源需求預(yù)測為例姓名：楊波申請學(xué)位級別：碩士專業(yè)：技術(shù)經(jīng)濟管理指導(dǎo)教師：陳德敏19990301重慶人學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文AbstractABSTRACTThispaperwhichselectsregionalruralenergyinChinaasanobjectofstudyinquiresintotheconceptclassification，featureand

2、characterofruralenergyEvaluatingtherenewableenergy，itconstructscorrespondingstatisticalmathematicsmodelofregionalruralenergyproductionThrou曲acomparativeresearchofkindsofforecastwayofenergydemandandenergymodel，itputsforwa

3、rdakindofnewforecastwayofregionalruralenergyunitforecastwayandsetsupaforecastmodelofenergydemandFromthepointofviewoffinalenergyconsumptiondemand，itstudiesconsumptionandcompositionofregionalruralfinalenergyinalldetailsAcc

4、ordingtoresolutio刪hcsize’Strainofthought，regionalruralenergyconsumptionisdividedintothreeunits：energyconsumptionofagriculturalproduction，energyconsumptionofruralhouseholds，energyconsumptionoftownship—ownedindustryIntheli

5、ghtofcharacterandinfluentialfactorsofeachunit’SenergyconsumpfiOil，eachunitisalsodividedintoalargeamountofbasicunitincommonwithstyleAfterforecastingthebasicunit’Sactivityandenergyconsumptionintensity，theforecastmodelCanco

6、untfutureenergydemandofeachbasicunitandthetotalenergydemandofregionalruralTheforecastmodelisalsoappliedtoanalyzeenergydemandofChongqingruralAfteranalyzedfuturesupplyanddemandofChongqingruralenergy，thesustainabledevelopme